OLASILIK VE İSTATİSTİK DERS TANITIM VE UYGULAMA BİLGİLERİ

Kodu	Dersin Adı	Yarıyıl	Süresi(T+U)	Kredisi	AKTS Kredisi
MAT207	OLASILIK VE İSTATİSTİK	3	3	3	5

DERS BİLGİLERİ
Dersin Öğretim Dili :	Türkçe
Dersin Düzeyi	BACHELOR'S DEGREE, TYY: + 6.Level, EQF-LLL: 6.Level, QF-EHEA: First Cycle
Dersin Türü	Zorunlu
Dersin Veriliş Şekli	-
Dersin Koordinatörü	Prof. AHMET CİHAT BAYTAŞ
Dersi Veren Öğretim Üyesi/Öğretim Görevlisi	Dr.Öğr.Üyesi FERHAT KÜRÜZ-Dr.Öğr.Üyesi SEDA YAMAÇ AKBIYIK
Ders Ön Koşulu	Yok

AMAÇ VE İÇERİK
Amaç:	To introduce the basic concepts of probability theory To have the students acquire the skills to analyze nondeterministic signals by modelling them as random processes.
İçerik:	Introduction and definitions (Set Theory, Experiment, Sample Space, Events) Mathematical model of probability, Joint and conditional probability, Bayes theorem Independent events and Bernoulli trials The random variable concept Probability distribution and density functions Conditional distributions and densities Expected values, moments and characteristic functions Transformations of a single random variable. Multiple random variables, joint distribution and density functions Limit theorems Operations on multiple random variables Definition of a random process Independence and stationarity Time averages, statistical averages and ergodicity Autocorrelation and cross-correlation functions Gauss and Poisson processes

DERSİN ÖĞRENME ÇIKTILARI (Öğrenciler, bu dersi başarı ile tamamladıklarında aşağıda belirtilen bilgi, beceri ve/veya yetkinlikleri gösterirler.)
Know the basic concepts of probability theory.
Use common probability distributions and analyse their properties.
Compute conditional probability distributions and conditional expectations.
Compute distributions by use of transformation techniques and solve problems.
Define and use the properties of Stochastic processes, especially Gaussian and Poisson Processes.

HAFTALIK DERS KONULARI VE ÖNGÖRÜLEN HAZIRLIK ÇALIŞMALARI
Hafta	Ön Hazırlık	Konular	Yöntem
1	-	Introduction and definitions (Set Theory, Experiment, Sample Space, Events)	-
2	-	Mathematical model of probability, Joint and conditional probability, Bayes theorem	-
3	-	Independent events and Bernoulli trials	-
4	-	The random variable concept	-
5	-	Probability distribution and density functions, Conditional distributions and densities	-
6	-	Expected values, moments and characteristic functions	-
7	-	Transformations of a single random variable	-
8	-	MID-TERM EXAM	-
9	-	Multiple random variables, joint distribution and density functions	-
10	-	Limit theorems, Operations on multiple random variables	-
11	-	Random processes and their properties	-
12	-	Independence and stationarity of random processes	-
13	-	Time averages, statistical averages and ergodicity, Autocorrelation and cross-correlation functions	-
14	-	Gauss and Poisson processes	-
15	-	Preparation for Final exam	-
16	-	FINAL EXAM	-
17	-	FINAL EXAM	-

KAYNAKLAR
Mühendislik İstatistiği;Montgomery,Runger,Hubele;Çeviri:Coşkun ÖZKAN,Palme Yayıncılık2017
Matemetiksel İstatistik,Mustafa Aytaç, Ezgi yayınları,Ankara Üniv.yayını,1999
Örnekleme Teorisi ve işletme yönetiminde uygulaması,Orhan İdil,İ.Ü. Yayını,1980
Matemetiksel İstatistiğe giriş,Uğur Korum,Ankara üniversitesi,1971
Yönetimde istatistik teknikler ve örnek olaylar, Orhan İdil,İst. Gelişim Üniv. ,1979

ÖLÇME VE DEĞERLENDİRME
Yarıyıl İçi Yapılan Çalışmaların Ölçme ve Değerlendirmesi	Etkinlik Sayısı	Katkı Yüzdesi	Açıklama

(0) Etkisiz	(1) En Düşük	(2) Düşük	(3) Orta	(4) İyi	(5) Çok İyi
0	1	2	3	4	5

KNOWLEDGE
Theoretical
	Program Yeterlilikleri/Çıktıları	Katkı Düzeyi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
1	Ability to apply mathematics, science and engineering knowledge.

KNOWLEDGE
Factual
	Program Yeterlilikleri/Çıktıları	Katkı Düzeyi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
1	Ability to apply mathematics, science and engineering knowledge.

SKILLS
Cognitive
	Program Yeterlilikleri/Çıktıları	Katkı Düzeyi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
1	Ability to design experiments, conduct experiments, collect data, analyze and interpret results.

SKILLS
Practical
	Program Yeterlilikleri/Çıktıları	Katkı Düzeyi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
1	A system, product or process has economic, environmental, social, political, ethical, health and safety, under realistic constraints and conditions such as feasibility and sustainability, Ability to design to meet requirements.

OCCUPATIONAL
Autonomy & Responsibility
	Program Yeterlilikleri/Çıktıları	Katkı Düzeyi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
1	Ability to work in teams with different disciplines

OCCUPATIONAL
Learning to Learn
	Program Yeterlilikleri/Çıktıları	Katkı Düzeyi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
1	Ability to identify, formulate and solve engineering problems

OCCUPATIONAL
Communication & Social
	Program Yeterlilikleri/Çıktıları	Katkı Düzeyi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
1	Awareness of having professional and ethical responsibilities.
2	Ability to communicate effectively verbally and in writing.

OCCUPATIONAL
Occupational and/or Vocational
	Program Yeterlilikleri/Çıktıları	Katkı Düzeyi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
1	The ability to have a comprehensive education to understand the impact of engineering solutions on global and social dimensions.
2	Awareness of the necessity of lifelong learning and the ability to do so.
3	The ability to have knowledge about current/contemporary issues.
4	Ability to use the techniques required for engineering applications and modern engineering and calculation equipment.

DERSİN İŞ YÜKÜ VE AKTS KREDİSİ
Öğrenme-Öğretme Etkinlikleri İş Yükü
Öğrenme-Öğretme Etkinlikleri	Etkinlik(hafta sayısı)	Süresi(saat sayısı)	Toplam İş Yükü
Lecture & In-Class Activities	14	3	42
Preliminary & Further Study	14	3	42
Land Surveying	0	0	0
Group Work	0	0	0
Laboratory	0	0	0
Reading	0	0	0
Assignment (Homework)	3	5	15
Project Work	0	0	0
Seminar	0	0	0
Internship	0	0	0
Technical Visit	0	0	0
Web Based Learning	0	0	0
Implementation/Application/Practice	0	0	0
Practice at a workplace	0	0	0
Occupational Activity	0	0	0
Social Activity	0	0	0
Thesis Work	0	0	0
Field Study	0	0	0
Report Writing	0	0	0
Final Exam	1	1	1
Preparation for the Final Exam	5	3	15
Mid-Term Exam	1	1	1
Preparation for the Mid-Term Exam	5	2	10
Short Exam	1	2	2
Preparation for the Short Exam	1	3	3
TOTAL	45	0	131